Extreme poverty(WB definition 1.90 per day) to be eliminated by 2025. Poverty declined from 36 % in 1990 to 15 per cent in 2011. Projections indicate that the global extreme poverty rate has fallen further, to 9.6%, as of 2015. ( 47% confidence; 6 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-07-09; known on 2025-05-28.

Biden wins the 2024 US presidential election, according to the New York Times ( 70% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-09-05; known on 2025-06-01.

Either the average cost of a public university education in America will double, the median income of a 4-year-degree holder will fall to 125% of a high school diploma holder, or the expected value of a public university education will turn negative. ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JohnWittle on 2016-02-17; known on 2025-06-01.

Subwoolfer is Ylvis ( 33% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Deepak on 2022-06-12; known on 2025-06-12.

I will get compensation >= $3k within next 8 years because of my arrest at the protest #no_research ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by crabman on 2017-06-18; known on 2025-06-13.

A nationwide effort to legalize polygamy ( 59% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by elmerfudd1 on 2013-03-26; known on 2025-06-20.

First physical sample returned from a Near Earth Asteroid. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-04-26; known on 2025-06-22.

1 year continuous human habitation of the moon ( 17% confidence; 16 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2016-04-18; known on 2025-06-22.

The collective Internet (CI) will be available on a chip by 2025. ( 65% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-06-30.

There will NOT be a “World War III” within the next 10 years. (Between Russia and it's “allies” and NATO and/or western europe) ( 93% confidence; 16 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Snorkelfarsan on 2015-07-31; known on 2025-07-01.

Quantum computing will be accessible to the world's public, for sale or rent, by mid-2025. ( 44% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by luxpir on 2015-09-29; known on 2025-07-01.

GitHub will operate through 2025-07-01 ( 75% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-06-11; known on 2025-07-01.

arXiv will operate through 2025-07-01 ( 86% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-06-11; known on 2025-07-01.

The Stack Exchange Network will operate through 2025-07-01 ( 85% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by btrettel on 2015-07-10; known on 2025-07-01.

The Internet Archive will operate through 2025-07-01 ( 76% confidence; 15 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-06-11; known on 2025-07-01.

Google Scholar will operate through 2025-07-01 ( 74% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by btrettel on 2015-06-15; known on 2025-07-01.

figshare will operate through 2025-07-01 ( 60% confidence )

Created by btrettel on 2015-06-11; known on 2025-07-01.

Nous continuons la traditions des week-end en ville ( 90% confidence )

Created by Medea on 2020-07-09; known on 2025-07-09.

facebook block capability will digitally alter pictures to erase evidence that the person who's blocking you was ever present ( 53% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-22; known on 2025-07-22.

Joe Biden will die within five years. ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JohnGreer on 2020-07-25; known on 2025-07-25.

Donald Trump will die within five years. ( 22% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JohnGreer on 2020-07-25; known on 2025-07-25.

Inflation adjusted GDP in California will be statistically significantly less than the rest of the U.S. over the next 10 years. Paired ANOVA, p < 0.05, based on the same source that led to this data or equivalent http://www.lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/D ( 5% confidence )

Created by Porejide on 2015-07-25; known on 2025-07-25.

a new world record in the men's 5000 meters will be set between now and 2025-08-01: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/5000_metres_world_record_progression ( 33% confidence )

Created by finback on 2020-08-20; known on 2025-08-01.

Universal basic income will be adopted in at least 50% of the G20 countries within 10 years ( 10% confidence; 9 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by sflicht on 2015-08-07; known on 2025-08-08.

Russia to invade Israel by August 10th 2025 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-02-07; known on 2025-08-10.

I will not be married within the next 5 years ( 80% confidence )

Created by Radish on 2020-08-12; known on 2025-08-12.

Microsoft will release the source code to the current version of Windows under a free-software license. ( 14% confidence; 15 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by quanticle on 2015-08-14; known on 2025-08-15.

Polar Bears will go extinct in the wild before 2025 ( 6% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by predoindk on 2019-08-23; known on 2025-08-16.

Right-leaning political parties, relative to the political parties currently in power, will control a greater number of majority positions of executive or (all) legislative branches of EU-member countries than at present. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Afforess on 2015-09-01; known on 2025-09-01.

beeminder.com will operate through 2025-09-01 ( 60% confidence )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-26; known on 2025-09-01.

COVID has become the new War on Terror. It has been used to justify increased authoritarian encroachment, and it is still ongoing. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by deangc on 2021-09-10; known on 2025-09-10.

The phosphine detected on Venus is widely agreed among the scientific community to be from life. ( 2% confidence; 12 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Deepak on 2020-09-16; known on 2025-09-16.

VW.OS is canceled or sold+renamed in 5 years ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by qznc on 2020-09-21; known on 2025-09-20.

“within 15 years, Google will be buying what is left of Oracle” —imbcmdth ( 17% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-09-22; known on 2025-09-22.

In the next 10 years Columbus Day will stop being a US federal holiday, or will be changed to Indigenous People's Day or some other non-Columbus-themed alternative. ( 25% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-10-13; known on 2025-10-13.

Germany abolishes “EEG-Umlage” by 2025 [Lindner promise] ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by qznc on 2022-01-02; known on 2025-11-01.

Venezuela to go to war with at least one other country before November 1, 2025. ( 18% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-25; known on 2025-11-02.

Nuclear exchange between India and Pakistan in the next 10 years ( 1% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-11-06; known on 2025-11-07.

Fusion Power will revolutionize the world energy demands by 2025. ( 8% confidence; 16 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-11-17.

HIV will be cured by 2025, but 5 new viruses deadlier than it will replace it. ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-11-30.

Bharat's life expectancy at birth will improve over the next decades, from 71.7 years in 2025-2030 to 75.9 years in 2045-2050 and 84.6 years in 2095-2100. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-11-30; known on 2025-12-01.

“The first true interstellar mission, targeted at the closest star to the Sun or even farther, will be launched before or on December 6, 2025 and will be widely supported by the public.” ( 2% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2025-12-07.

Great Green Wall, a land restoration programme in the African Sahel over the next 10 years. Aims to restore more than 50 million hectares of land. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-09; known on 2025-12-12.

Gangs and gang-affiliations will be outlawed and considered terrorist organisations by 2025. ( 80% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-12-16.

Contact Sports (football,boxing, kick boxing, most martial arts) will be outlawed in 60% of the world by 2025 due to a medical discovery. ( 14% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-12-16.

Holographic Television (HTV) will be a trillion dollar industry by 2025. ( 16% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-12-16.

At least one Nobel Laureate in Physics will have become a centenarian by 2025 ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-10; known on 2025-12-16.

Zhongguo's output of greenhouse gases will peak in 2025, 5 years ahead of the pledged 2030 date. ( 96% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-04; known on 2025-12-25.

ExxonMobil has predicted that global demand for coal will peak in about 2025 ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-04; known on 2025-12-25.