Universal basic income will be adopted in at least 50% of the G20 countries within 10 years

Created by sflicht on 2015-08-07; known on 2025-08-08

• sflicht estimated 20% on 2015-08-07
• silacoid estimated 3% and said “one can always hope, but it’s luck if it’s one, and after the first one, the rest will at least wait for 5-10 years to see how it goes before they try it themselves…” on 2015-08-07
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 10% and said “You specify an awfully high number! However Basic Income will certainly be more popular in 10 years but 50% is unlikely.” on 2015-08-08
• aarongertler estimated 2% on 2015-08-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2015-08-10
• Afforess estimated 1% and said “Maybe 1 of the G20 will dabble in it. No chance of 50%.” on 2015-08-17
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 5% and said “I think Sflicht should edit this prediction to enable the 10 year mark, and also the Nederlands is experimenting with Basic Income. Make it 10% of the G-20 and the prediction will probably come true.” on 2015-08-19
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% and said “If it happens, it’ll take way longer.” on 2015-08-20
• sflicht changed the deadline from “on 2015-08-07” on 2015-08-25
• themusicgod1 estimated 41% and said “20? maybe. They’d have to start doing trial runs in ~9 countries in 3-4…I don’t see it.” on 2016-03-22