Marijuana to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 75% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

Voyager 1 to outlast the Mars Curiosity rover ( 50% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2026-01-01.

Ketamine to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

Ada/Cardano to go above $1 by 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-06-02; known on 2026-01-01.

Acemoglu wins a Nobel Prize by 2025 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Reinersaltaccount on 2023-02-06; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one nuclear power plant will produce usable power in Australia by 1/1/2026. ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by PipFoweraker on 2015-12-30; known on 2026-01-01.

Autonomous cars will comprise 10% of greater of total KM's traveled on Australian roads by end of 2025. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PipFoweraker on 2016-01-07; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2026 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 125. ( 18% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2026-01-01.

Boson Sampling or Scattershot Boson Sampling with at least 10 photons to be performed by January 1, 2026. ( 65% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-10; known on 2026-01-01.

MDMA to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

'Africa and the Middle East are linked by a transcontinental bridge' by 2025 ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

There will be more elementary school teachers in 2025 than there are in 2012 (http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_104.htm ) ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

'Experiments at a university have yielded the first 10 year old mice' by 2025 ( 44% confidence; 9 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

SomethingAwful to exist through 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Adobe to survive to 2025 ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Will Wright to do an IAmA on reddit by 2025 ( 50% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-21; known on 2026-01-01.

cannabinoids to be demonstrated to increase lifespan in at least one model organism by 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2026-01-01.

Apple's valuation in 2025 to be less than half that of its valuation in 2015 ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-06; known on 2026-01-01.

Cystic Fibrosis to be a curable illness by 2025 ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

In 2025, $1000 should buy you a computer able to calculate at 10^16 cycles per second (10,000 trillion cycles per second), the equivalent processing speed of the human brain. [Peter Diamandis] ( 30% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Christopher P. McKay to do IAmA on reddit by 2025 ( 51% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-21; known on 2026-01-01.

'2025 Neurological research finally leads to an understanding of all the senses, and direct input becomes possible, bypassing ears, eyes, skin, etc. The result is the metal “Braincap.” Anyone wearing this close-fitting helmet can enter a whole universe of ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-26; known on 2026-01-01.

New York Times to have higher readership in 2025 than 2015 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-21; known on 2026-01-01.

The Hubble Telescope will deorbit before the end of 2025 ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-18; known on 2026-01-01.

Godel Escher Bach will be available as a free online eBook by 2025 (in the way the Feynman lectures are) ( 26% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-17; known on 2026-01-01.

AT&T buys Verizon, or vice versa. ( 28% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-03; known on 2026-01-01.

Steam to remain as #1 digital distribution platform for gaming by 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Obergefell v Hodges effectively overturned by December 31, 2025 ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2018-06-30; known on 2026-01-01.

Electronic Arts to survive to 2025 ( 55% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

At least 25% of all total meals in the world will be prepared by robot chefs by 2025 ( 15% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-02; known on 2026-01-01.

Law enforcement in the USA is/has been pressuring ISPs to secretly configure router settings to spy on suspects ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by sam_jaques on 2020-09-04; known on 2026-01-01.

Wolfram Research will last through 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

A study will be done showing that cannabidiol increases lifespan in at least one model organism by 2025 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Consensus that B/Yamagata influenza completed eliminated by January 1, 2026. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-31; known on 2026-01-01.

The US dollar to crash, and loose 50%, or more of it's value by 2026 ( 14% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by sdr on 2016-05-14; known on 2026-01-01.

Intrade (or a similar real money prediction market) will be legal in the US by 2026 ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-28; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025, autism rates in the US will surpass 50% for children. ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-30; known on 2026-01-01.

By the end of 2025 speech to text software "will be just below the level of a trained stenographer with something like 80% probability, and “solved” (somewhat above that level in many different languages) with 30% probability. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-09; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025 Atlas-style robots will be used on the battlefield as ground forces. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sflicht on 2016-05-07; known on 2026-01-01.

Speech to text processing to improve such that by end of 2025 it will be an essentially solved problem. ( 85% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-09; known on 2026-01-01.

Airbnb to be acquired by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-17; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one article Vipul Naik pays to create on the English Wikipedia will have good article or featured article status by the end of 2025 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-08; known on 2026-01-01.

Jane Goodall to do IAmA on reddit by 2025 ( 70% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

I will continue to use (in any form, on any machine) tmux in 2025 ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-08; known on 2026-01-01.

There will be a House Mouse that lives up to 6 years by 2025 ( 45% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

Slashdot to exist through 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

'China's economy continues to boom' in 2025 ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

ladybugs found to return to their birthplace, like salmon ( 50% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-13; known on 2026-01-01.

Within 5 years of initial release of mRNA vaccines, they will be recognized to cause serious side effects lasting >6 months in at least 1 in 5000 cases. ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jasticE on 2021-12-22; known on 2026-01-01.