The phosphine detected on Venus is widely agreed among the scientific community to be from life.

Created by Deepak on 2020-09-16; known on 2025-09-16

• Deepak estimated 0% on 2020-09-16
• Deepak said “I intend to postpone the end date if no consensus emerges at that time. Marked wrong if consensus is that the phosphine detection is either spurious, or if the phosphine has a consensus non-life explanation.” on 2020-09-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2020-09-16
• unexpectedEOF estimated 1% on 2020-09-16
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% on 2020-09-18
• henryaj estimated 0% on 2020-09-20
• fandangos estimated 7% on 2020-09-22
• Reactionaryhistorian estimated 1% on 2020-09-26
• Medea estimated 1% on 2020-10-09
• lalaithion estimated 7% on 2020-10-14
• chemotaxis101 estimated 5% on 2020-10-26
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-10-26
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-10-26