Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Recent Predictions
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[Brasileirão – Round 3 results] Sport Recife does not lose to Paraná ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-29.
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[Brasileirão – Round 3 results] América Mineiro does not lose to Vitória ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-01.
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[Brasileirão – Round 3 results] Fluminense does not lose to São Paulo FC ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-29.
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[Monday football matches results] Spartak beats Akhmat ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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Fenerbahçe beats Antalyaspor ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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FC Porto beats Vitória Setúbal ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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[Monday football matches results] Everton beats Newcastle ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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[Monday football matches results] Athletic Bilbao beats Levante ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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[Monday football matches results] Genoa beats Hellas Verona ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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I will best C at table football this lunchtime. ( 80% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-23; known on 2018-04-23; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-04-23.
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[Sunday football matches results] Grêmio beats Atlético PR ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-23; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-23.
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[Sunday football matches results] Atlético MG beats Vitória ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] São Paulo FC beats Ceará ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Juventus wins ( 75% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday Football Matches Results] Chelsea beats Southampton ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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Atalanta Torino draw ( 65% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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Internazionale wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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Udinese wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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CSKA wins ( 75% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Augsburg wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Schalke wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Stoke wins ( 65% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Arsenal wins ( 85% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Las Palmas and Alaves draw ( 60% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Chapecoense and Vasco draw ( 60% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Atletico Madrid wins ( 90% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Fluminense wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Nice wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Aves does not lose ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Saint Etienne wins ( 75% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Paris SG does not win ( 50% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged wrong by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Manchester City wins ( 95% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Palmeiras does not lose ( 80% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by LouisLC on 2018-04-22.
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[Sunday football matches results] Chaves wins ( 70% confidence )
Created by musashimaru on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-22; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-04-22.
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I'm in an online forum where a technical analysis chart person is predicting LTC litecoin will hit 175 by 4/26/18. ( 51% confidence )
Created by DanMotorcycleGuy on 2018-04-22; known on 2018-04-26.
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I will get pinged for lunch next week (Monday-Thursday). ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-20; known on 2018-04-26; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-26.
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Gene drive found in the wild due to either unknown or rogue scientist in the wild before any gene drive released by a major NGO. ( 18% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2018-04-20; known on 2050-01-01.
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Republicans will win the house in 2018. ( 49% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-12-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-10.
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The Wizards will beat the Raptors. ( 25% confidence )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-05-10; judged wrong by davatk on 2018-04-28.
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[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Bernie Sanders ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2020-09-16; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-29.
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[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Kamala Harris ( 14% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2020-09-16; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-29.
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[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Joe Biden ( 32% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2020-09-16; judged right by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-29.
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[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Hilary Clinton ( 3% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2020-09-16; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-29.
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[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Cory Booker ( 7% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2020-09-16; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-29.
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Bitcoin will be <15k on January 1st 2019. ( 74% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.
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[For HQ2, Amazon will choose] the DC area. ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-08-16; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-15.
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[For HQ2, Amazon will choose] Denver/Boulder. ( 10% confidence )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-08-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-15.
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[For HQ2, Amazon will choose] Boston. ( 25% confidence )
Created by davatk on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-08-16; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-11-15.
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The first flight of the Block 5 Falcon 9 carrying the Bangabandhu 1 will successfully orbit the payload and perform a low stress landing. ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-17; known on 2018-05-15; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-05-15.
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Cyber attack on UK with Russia clearly identified as culprit in 2018, described as retaliation for Syria bombing. ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-16; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2019-01-02.
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World War 3 to begin in 2018. (Formal war involving at least three large, developed nations, with some on separate sides). ( 0% confidence; 15 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-16; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by kuudes on 2019-01-01.
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We will fairly convincingly know who Satoshi Nakamoto is in five years. ( 20% confidence; 14 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JohnGreer on 2018-04-13; known on 2023-04-13; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2023-08-31.
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Kocherga, rational time club in Moscow, Russia will close and not reopen in 2018 ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by crabman on 2018-04-11; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by crabman on 2018-12-29.
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I will be in a romantic relationship with a woman whom I love and who loves me at some point between now and my 30th birthday. ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-10; known on 2023-10-10.
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Still no first kiss before my 30th birthday. ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-10; known on 2023-10-10.
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Amazon will acquire Boston Dynamics, and this will be publicly announced before the end of 2019 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by peter_hurford on 2018-04-09; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
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I'll be using Shiny Umbrella to reduce my typing by at least half in 3 months ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by enolan on 2018-04-08; known on 2018-07-08; judged wrong by enolan on 2018-07-09.
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I'll be using Shiny Umbrella to reduce my typing by at least half in one month ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by enolan on 2018-04-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by enolan on 2018-05-09.
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I think the Warriors will win the NBA Finals ( 76% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Scolyke on 2018-04-08; known on 2018-06-16; judged right by davatk on 2018-06-16.
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Macron will not be re-elected as French President. ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by phistr on 2018-04-08; known on 2022-06-30; judged wrong by chemotaxis101 on 2022-06-02.
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French rail strike will end before 15th May in favour of the government. ( 60% confidence )
Created by phistr on 2018-04-08; known on 2018-05-15; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2018-06-07.
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Trump will be impeached ( 33% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by phistr on 2018-04-08; known on 2018-04-08; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-04-09.
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Democrats will control the house of representatives ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dkasser on 2018-04-08; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.
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By April 7th, 2028, there will be a time when 5 million or more Americans will be able to order pizza for delivery by drone to their home. ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by WilliamKiely on 2018-04-07; known on 2028-04-07.
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I will take my car into town on Friday, not the bike or bus. ( 70% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-04-04; known on 2018-04-06; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-04-06.
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Donald Trump will lose the next election. ( 62% confidence; 15 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-03; known on 2020-11-04; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2020-11-07.
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SC will come to the second weekend of the 2018 EA retreat downunder ( 80% confidence )
Created by lukefreeman on 2018-04-02; known on 2018-04-28; judged right by lukefreeman on 2018-04-29.
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Still no first kiss before my 25th birthday. ( 76% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2018-04-02; known on 2018-10-10; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2018-10-10.
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andrew yang will be president ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by kingsheepman on 2018-03-31; known on 2018-03-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-04-01.
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hui ( 70% confidence )
Created by bastak on 2018-03-29; known on 2018-03-30.
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I will still be using Prediction Book in 5 year's time. ( 56% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2023-03-29; judged wrong by sortega on 2023-04-08.
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I will still be using Prediction Book in 4 year's time. ( 58% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2022-03-29; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-03.
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I will still be using Prediction Book in 3 year's time. ( 60% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2021-03-29.
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I will still be using Prediction Book in 2 year's time. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2020-03-29; judged wrong by stepan on 2021-04-30.
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I will still be using Prediction Book in 1 year's time. ( 75% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2019-03-29; judged right by Athrithalix on 2019-03-29.
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TESS will launch before the end of April (there will be no further major delays to its launch). ( 73% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2018-05-01; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-04-27.
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Allison Mack (actress) gets arrested within two years ( 55% confidence; 5 comments )
Created by two2thehead on 2018-03-29; known on 2020-03-29; judged right by two2thehead on 2018-06-25.
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The listicle I just saw on Facebook “7 Complete Wastes of Money that Most People Don't Even Consider” will all be things that either (1) I've considered, (2) don't apply to me, or (3) save trivial amounts of money. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2018-03-28; known on 2018-03-29; judged right by Michael Dickens on 2018-03-28.
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Youtube channel Tech Ingredients will reach 200,000 subscribers (Currently 14k) within 2 years ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by bendini on 2018-03-28; known on 2020-03-28; judged right by bendini on 2019-07-07.
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Desi will not send any messages at all to me ( 80% confidence )
Created by zvory on 2018-03-26; known on 2018-04-02; judged right by zvory on 2018-04-02.
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I will not attend S' birthday celebrations. ( 90% confidence )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-26; known on 2018-04-02; judged right by Athrithalix on 2018-04-03.
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Villanova will win the 2018 NCAA national championship ( 35% confidence )
Created by dakyne on 2018-03-26; known on 2018-04-03; judged right by ccokeefe on 2018-04-05.
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US National Debt will cross $22 trillion by December 31, 2018. ( 58% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by dakyne on 2018-03-26; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2019-01-01.
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Spot silver will reach $20 by December 31, 2018. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by dakyne on 2018-03-26; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.
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Our DnD session will end before 20:00 ( 60% confidence )
Created by crabman on 2018-03-24; known on 2018-03-24; judged wrong by crabman on 2018-03-26.
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Within 6 months, a bombing campaign will start in Iran. ( 20% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by pkfalu92 on 2018-03-24; known on 2018-07-24; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2018-09-02.
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I will still be using NixOS in three months ( 47% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by enolan on 2018-03-23; known on 2018-06-23; judged right by enolan on 2018-06-24.
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Games Workers Unite will be generally considered a failure on October 1st 2019 ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by enolan on 2018-03-23; known on 2019-10-01; judged wrong by enolan on 2019-10-11.
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If @m doesn't cancel the game 2018-03-22, I will be feeling well enough to come #illness #personal ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by crabman on 2018-03-23; known on 2018-03-24; judged right by crabman on 2018-03-26.
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I will get anxiety/stress severe enough while studying that I scratch my hands until they bleed ( 90% confidence )
Created by zvory on 2018-03-23; known on 2018-04-20; judged wrong by zvory on 2018-04-20.
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I finish Crucial Conversations by the end of the term ( 30% confidence )
Created by zvory on 2018-03-23; known on 2018-04-20; judged wrong by zvory on 2018-04-20.
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Electron rocket to launch before the end of March. ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-22; known on 2018-04-01; judged wrong by Jotto999 on 2018-04-01.
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If I end up using my Gruzovichkoff order on 2018-03-23, I will pay for 3+ hours of loader's work ( 55% confidence )
Created by crabman on 2018-03-22; known on 2018-03-23; judged right by crabman on 2018-03-24.
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Another Soyuz Fregat stage suffers some form of failure that leads to the loss or incorrect insertion of one or more satellites in the next two years. ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-22; known on 2019-03-22; judged wrong by Athrithalix on 2019-03-22.
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I will not cancel psychotherapy session because of illness ( 70% confidence )
Created by crabman on 2018-03-22; known on 2018-03-22; judged wrong by crabman on 2018-03-22.
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“Bitcoin will be the world’s ‘single currency’ in 10 years” ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2018-03-21; known on 2028-03-21; judged unknown by Bruno Parga on 2018-04-09.
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Republicans retain majorities in both the House and Senate after the 2018 mid terms ( 30% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jamesrom on 2018-03-21; known on 2018-11-07; judged wrong by RobertLumley on 2018-11-07.
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Etherium will be more valuable than Bitcoin. ( 20% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by s.zirai@live.de on 2018-03-20; known on 2019-03-20; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2019-03-21.
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USDJPY goes below 105.24 at any point during March 2018. ( 45% confidence )
Created by Jotto999 on 2018-03-18; known on 2018-04-01; judged right by Jotto999 on 2018-03-22.
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Politics, UK – Before the end of 2018, UK government representative states that the view of the government is that the Russian government is likely not responsible for the attempted murder of Sergei Skripal ( 5% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by jbeshir on 2018-03-16; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2019-01-02.