[US-China] Trump and Xi to meet when Trump visits Asia later in May 2019 ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-13; known on 2019-06-01; judged wrong by stepan on 2019-06-01.

US military to execute air strike or missile strike on Iranian territory or naval assets by May 2020 EOM ( 27% confidence; 19 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-13; known on 2020-06-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-05.

A US Navy vessel to sink or be destroyed in the Persian/Arab Gulf by May 2020 EOM ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-13; known on 2020-06-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-05.

The predictionbook user 'Cato' will NOT be active here (less than 1 wage/week) by Aug 10th, 2019 (3 months later). ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by minerjamon on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-08-10; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2019-08-12.

[Commodities] As of May 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of April 2020 ( 52% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-05-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-05-18.

[Commodities] As of April 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of March 2020 ( 51% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-04-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-09.

[Commodities] As of March 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of February 2020 ( 49% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-03-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-13.

[Commodities] As of February 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of January 2020 ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-03-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-02-29.

[Commodities] As of December 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of November 2019 ( 52% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-12-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-13.

[Commodities] As of October 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of September 2019 ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-10-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-10.

[Commodities] As of September 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of August 2019 ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-09-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-11.

[Commodities] As of August 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of July 2019 ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-08-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-07.

[Commodities] As of July 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of June 2019 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-07-14; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-10.

[Commodities] As of June 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of May 2019 ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-06-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] Chang San-cheng (張善政) ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] James Soong (宋楚瑜) ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] Wang Jyn-pyng (王金平) ( 5% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] Terry Gou (郭台銘) ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] Eric Chu (朱立倫) ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] Chou Hsi-wei (周錫瑋) ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] Chang Ya-chung (張亞中) ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] William Lai (賴淸德) ( 3% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

[Taiwan: The winner of the 2020 presidential election to be] a member of the KMT ( 38% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-01-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-12.

I will complete my Work Marathon 5 baseline targets without decreasing the scope. ( 60% confidence )

Created by olimay on 2019-05-09; known on 2019-05-12; judged wrong by olimay on 2019-05-12.

Trump will be reelected. ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by subra on 2019-05-09; known on 2020-11-04; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-07.

[Game of Thrones] Daenerys Targaryen to kill Jon Snow ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-06; known on 2019-05-21; judged wrong by AlexLamson on 2019-05-20.

[Fighting] Jose Aldo to beat Alex Volkanovski at UFC 237 ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-05; known on 2019-05-12; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-12.

Erik Prince runs for Senate in 2020 ( 10% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-05-05; known on 2020-11-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-12-09.

[US politics: Within the next year, Donald Trump's tax returns] to be obtained by the House or Senate ( 50% confidence; 13 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-05; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-05-06.

[US politics: Within the next year, Donald Trump's tax returns] to be released to the public ( 32% confidence; 14 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-05; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-05-06.

[Fighting] Official cross-promotional bout involving UFC fighter in the next year ( 12% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-05; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-05-06.

[[REDACTED PROJECT] will publish] next steps by June 1st ( 5% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-05-02; known on 2019-06-02; judged wrong by marcus_a_davis on 2019-06-10.

[[REDACTED PROJECT] will publish] the summary by June 1st ( 10% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-05-02; known on 2019-06-02; judged wrong by marcus_a_davis on 2019-06-10.

[[REDACTED PROJECT] will publish] the table by June 1st ( 50% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-05-02; known on 2019-06-02; judged wrong by marcus_a_davis on 2019-06-10.

[[REDACTED PROJECT] will publish] the intro by June 1st ( 60% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-05-02; known on 2019-06-02; judged wrong by marcus_a_davis on 2019-06-10.

Post done by end of the evening ( 55% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-05-02; known on 2019-05-02; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2019-05-05.

I will get something resembling a face during current run #dl #ml ( 30% confidence )

Created by crabman on 2019-05-01; known on 2019-05-02; judged wrong by crabman on 2019-05-01.

I will get 56 hours of sleep next week (starting the night of 2019-05-04). ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-04-29; known on 2019-05-11; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2019-05-12.

The winner of the 2019 World Series of Poker main event to be a US citizen ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2019-07-17; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-17.

[Fighting] Brock Lesnar to fight Daniel Cormier in an official MMA bout by 2020-04-26 ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2020-04-26; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-26.

[US politics: As of 2019-07-25] Andrew Yang will have been listed by PredictIt as the number 3 contender for the Democratic Party nomination for at least one day ( 35% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2019-07-26; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-26.

[US politics: As of 2019-07-25] Andrew Yang will have been listed by PredictIt as the number 2 contender for the Democratic Party nomination for at least one day ( 20% confidence; 13 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2019-07-26; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-26.

[US politics: As of 2019-07-25] Andrew Yang will have been listed by PredictIt as the top contender for the Democratic Party nomination for at least one day ( 11% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2019-07-26; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-26.

The Brexit Party to win more than 10 seats in a 2019 general election ( 28% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by 6thNapoleon on 2019-04-22; known on 2019-12-31; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-30.

I will get 56 hours of sleep this week (starting the night of 2019-04-22). ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-04-22; known on 2019-04-29; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2019-04-29.

[Fighting] Tim Elliott to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Alexandre Pantoja to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Joseph Benavidez to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 13% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Wilson Reis to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Deiveson Figueiredo to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Jussier Formiga to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Justin Gaethje to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] José Aldo to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Brian Ortega to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Raphael Assunção to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 4% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Frankie Edgar to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 9% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Aljamain Sterling to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Pedro Munhoz to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Renato Moicano to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Tony Ferguson to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 20% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Al Iaquinta to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Dominick Cruz to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Dustin Poirier to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 11% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Ben Askren to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Jorge Masvidal to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 3% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Rafael Dos Anjos to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Colby Covington to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 24% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Tyron Woodley to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 2% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Kelvin Gastelum to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Jacare Souza to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 5% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Luke Rockhold to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 4% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fighting] Yoel Romero to be UFC champion in at least one weight class as of 2019 EOY ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-17; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.