The singularity will occur by the year 2070 ( 45% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by pleeppleep on 2011-12-02; known on 2070-01-01.

Zcash hacked / value goes to 0 before marketcap hits 1T$USD ( 77% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-28; known on 2070-01-01.

At least one of my grandparents will get cryonically frozen before 2070. ( 15% confidence )

Created by Mati on 2014-02-14; known on 2070-01-01.

By the time most of the world’s population has made the transition to a vegan or cultured-meat diet, the rearing of other sentient beings for human consumption will be illegal under international law. — David Pearce ( 16% confidence; 10 wagers; 16 comments )

Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2070-01-01.

The average healthy, non-smoking, physically active male reader of Reddit now in his early 30s will live long enough to experience a Singularity and in some manner escape the bonds of traditional mortality. ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2070-01-01.

I will exist in a purely virtual form by 2070 ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by enochthechronocom on 2021-09-03; known on 2070-01-01.

'Global average temperatures have risen by 4°C*' ( 29% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-06-07; known on 2070-01-01.

In 2070 there will be a human alive with age 150 or older. ( 26% confidence; 25 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by ChristianKl on 2009-10-17; known on 2070-12-31.

The Betelgeuse star will be observed to die within 60 years ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by jasticE on 2010-10-14; known on 2070-12-31.

A large quantum computer capable of breaking 163-bit Elliptic Curve Cryptography WILL be built before 2070. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by niconiconi on 2021-02-26; known on 2071-01-01.

Larry King will get cryopreserved in the next 50 years ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Mati on 2021-01-03; known on 2071-01-01.

Eduardo Saverin will un-renounce or try to regain his US citizenship sometime in his life ( 28% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-13; known on 2072-12-31.

The Arctic Ocean will be ice-free before 2073 ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-07; known on 2073-01-01.

Brad Trost becomes prime minister of canada ( 13% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-12; known on 2074-01-01.

A law-enforcement agency or someone(s) interested in law enforcement will be revealed to have been the creator(s) of Bitcoin, and will have done so in order to track illegal dealings. ( 8% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by EvanB on 2014-01-18; known on 2074-01-18.

By 2075 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 140. ( 58% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2075-01-01.

At least one country will make producing animal meat products within its borders illegal by 2075 ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by dvolk on 2015-01-02; known on 2075-01-01.

Bitcoins thought to belong to Satoshi Nakamoto will be spent by 2075-04-05 (hacks don't count). ( 19% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Mati on 2020-02-24; known on 2075-04-05.

When elon musk and peter thiel personally land on mars, he unfurls a white pride flag ( 3% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-30; known on 2076-01-01.

I will still be alive in 2078. ( 49% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-05-11; known on 2078-01-01.

The world will end in 2078 to a nuclear holocaust. ( 8% confidence; 12 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Fenrir on 2020-10-31; known on 2078-12-31.

By 2080 most manufacturing and processing of materials will be done in space ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by msevrens on 2014-10-28; known on 2079-10-28.

Prince William comes out as gay/bisexual. ( 8% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2016-06-16; known on 2080-01-01.

Busy Beaver of 5 is 47,176,870 and proven by 2080. ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-07-23; known on 2080-01-01.

A true general intelligence AI will be created ( 92% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by espore on 2015-08-02; known on 2080-10-16.

US CBO: health spending >=49% of GDP in 2082 ( 21% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2083-01-01.

By 2085 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 150 ( 28% confidence; 20 wagers; 11 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-16; known on 2085-01-01.

“China will be considered a Christian nation, with at least 33% of its residents identifying themselves as Christians, by the year 2085.” ( 13% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2085-01-01.

By 2085 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 140 ( 42% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-16; known on 2085-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 1000 people will have lived permanently on mars will be between 2073 and 2085. ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2086-01-01.

The first human being will be born on the moon between 2060 and 2085. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2086-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 1000 people will have lived permanently on the moon will be between 2075 and 2085. ( 25% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2086-01-01.

I will watch a film better than 'Lawrence of Arabia' and '2001: A Space Odyssey' by 2090. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Reinersaltaccount on 2023-01-08; known on 2090-01-01.

gwern will get married by 2090 ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-06-20; known on 2090-01-01.

A hole will be drilled down to Earth's mantle by 2090. ( 39% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Mati on 2020-02-29; known on 2090-01-01.

Space mining will be profitable before 2090, conditional on no existential catastrophe or win ( 47% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Mati on 2020-02-23; known on 2090-01-01.

Humanity to land on an asteroid before landing on Mars ( 32% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-20; known on 2090-01-01.

The first human being will be born on mars between 2070 and 2090 ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2091-01-01.

'2090 Burning of fossil fuels is resumed to replace carbon dioxide “mined” from the air and to try to postpone the next Ice Age by promoting global warming.' —Arthur C. Clarke ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-26; known on 2091-01-01.

A human neural connectome will have been mapped by 2092 —Charles Stross ( 93% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

By 2092, “20-40% of mammalian species, 20-60% of reptiles, 40-80% of amphibia, and maybe 50% or more of insects will be extinct.” —Charles Stross ( 40% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

“There will be 5-10 billion people.” —Charles Stross ( 43% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

“Between 50% and 80% of them will be city-dwellers, and their average age will be rising.” ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

“The USA will not have been the dominant planetary superpower for at least fifty years. The EU won't have replaced it. China will be over the peak and probably a long way down the down-slope. The future belongs to someone else. Maybe Brazil or India?” —C ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

By 2092, any orbital solar power stations will still be for space applications, and not ground use (eg. beaming it down as microwaves) —Charles Stross ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

Aging arrested or reversible by 2092 —Charles Stross ( 66% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

Diabetes cured by 2092 —Charles Stross ( 80% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

Limb and organ (re)growth medically commercialized —Charles Stross ( 72% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.

Between 2012 and 2092, a new plague will kill 1M<x<1B people —Charles Stross ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2012-01-14; known on 2092-01-01.