Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Recent Predictions
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Russian stock market is open on Monday, March 28 2022 ( 59% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-18; known on 2022-03-29; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-29.
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Russian stock market is open on Monday, March 21 2022 ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-18; known on 2022-03-22; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-21.
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Russian sovereign debt default by May 1, 2022 ( 47% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-09; known on 2022-05-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-02.
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Putin runs for President of Russia again in 2024 ( 59% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-01; known on 2024-05-07.
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Putin serves as President of Russia for the remainder of his current term ( 70% confidence; 12 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-01; known on 2024-05-07.
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Russia to invade Israel by August 10th 2025 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-02-07; known on 2025-08-10.
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Russia to invade Israel in the next 5 years. ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-02-07; known on 2027-02-08.