Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Recent Predictions
-
User Tapetum-Lucidum reveals themself to be user AgentOrange by judging this prediction right ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-08; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-26.
-
User Clouduknguyen_95 will realize that their predictions have been 'griefed' and will not make another public prediction related to medicine before June 25th ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-25; known on 2022-06-25; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-27.
-
Someone other than me makes a prediction in the next week ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-19; known on 2022-04-26; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2022-04-19.
-
Tapetum-Lucidum does not make any more metapredictions, after this one, until 2023 ( 27% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-17; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-19.
-
kriscooper000 returns by 2023 and modifies their prediction about the moon exploding ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-17; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2023-01-29.
-
Sometime within calendar year 2022, Ooga leaves Ashley's embrace for long enough to log onto predictionbook and judge their only prediction. ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-04-07; known on 2023-01-01; judged wrong by rlourie on 2023-01-09.