Lubos will not respond to Scott Aaronson's recent article or blog post before May 2nd.
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-25; known on 2015-05-02; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-16.
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-04-25
- JoshuaZ said “Context is http://www.scottaaronson.com/blog/?p=2276 and http://ideas.aeon.co/viewpoints/1829” on 2015-04-25
- JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2015-03-02” and changed their prediction from “Lubos will not respond to Scott Aaronson's recent article or blog post before March 2nd” on 2015-04-25
- JoshuaZ said “Meant May 2nd (obviously). ” on 2015-04-25
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2015-05-16.