HP MoR: chapter 100 will, after 7 days, have 66-383 reviews posted on FF.net

Created by gwern on 2012-11-04; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2014-01-14.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2012-11-04
• gwern said “for the reasoning see the conclusion of http://www.gwern.net/hpmor#analysis – see also the 1 month prediction http://predictionbook.com/predictions/9270” on 2012-11-04
• gwern estimated 65% and said “dropping based on graphing the confidence interval” on 2012-11-04
• gwern said “https://www.fanfiction.net/r/5782108/100/1/ dec11-18: 37 reviews. predictions were screwed up by eliezer posting them as a batch – 101 had 57 and drained off reviews from 99/100. but marking wrong.” on 2014-01-14
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-14.
• eonelle said “<br><br><a href="http://BeatsPROBeatsStudioatBeatsByDre4.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br>” on 2015-11-08