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Linux most widely used operating system for personal desktop and laptop computers in the world by 2040. — Axel Boldt

Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2041-01-01

  • Pablo estimated 5% on 2012-10-01
  • Pablo said “Context: http://math-www.uni-paderborn.de/~axel/predictions.html” on 2012-10-01
  • PseudonymousUser said “Linux is a kernel, not a whole OS. Would Android domination count? Some other thing using a Linux fork? And how do you count use given ubiquitous embedded devices and virtual machines?” on 2012-10-01
  • gwern said “need a definition of ‘used’. If the number of smartphones running Android outnumbers all mac smartphones + mac desktops + win desktops, woul that count? eg” on 2012-10-01
  • Pablo changed their prediction from “Linux most widely used operating system in the world by 2040. — Axel Boldt” on 2012-10-02
  • Pablo said “I changed the prediction to make my interpretation of it explicit.” on 2012-10-02
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2012-10-02
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 2% on 2012-10-13
  • Jayson Virissimo said “I suspect that by that time, it will be unclear what counts as a ‘personal desktop’ and also will be debatable which OS it is running (could be in a virtual machine on an off-site server).” on 2012-10-14