In the next 40 years, at least 1 Nobel Prize Literature will go to someone with a LessWrong account.

Created by gwern on 2012-09-08; known on 2052-09-08

• gwern estimated 0% on 2012-09-08
• gwern said “per Filipe in #lesswrong” on 2012-09-08
• Filipe estimated 0% and said “again, that was a joke.” on 2012-09-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-09-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% on 2012-09-08
• William-Quixote estimated 1% on 2012-09-10
• Pablo estimated 1% on 2012-10-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 63% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 1% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2018-12-12