August 2014 hard drive prices: 74-84 GB/$

Created by gwern on 2012-08-23; known on 2014-08-22; judged wrong by gwern on 2014-08-23.

• gwern estimated 60% on 2012-08-23
• gwern said “judged by top entry in http://forre.st/storage#sata ; background: http://www.gwern.net/Slowing%20Moore%27s%20Law#kryders-law see also: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/7911 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/7910” on 2012-08-23
• RandomThinker estimated 45% on 2012-08-24
• gwern said “something very suspicious about current top 2 on forrest: 89gb/$, 70gb/$, no reviews, no-name company, may just be enclosures and not actual HDDs? first real hard drive is #3 at 33gb/$, so like previous predictions, marking wrong” on 2014-08-23
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-08-23.