By March 10, 2035, "the sum of (a) those who own cars and use them at least once a week (b) those who use a ride-sharing program with self-driving cars at least once a week, not counting twice those who do both will be less than 40% of the U.S. populatio

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-03-10; known on 2035-03-10

• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2015-03-10
• JoshuaZ said “Bet with theoryofeverything. See http://www.reddit.com/r/collapse/comments/2yftur/what_maps_will_look_like_when_we_need_cars_to/cpabyi2 . Bet is $15 inflation adjusted at that time. ” on 2015-03-10
• Unknowns estimated 10% on 2015-03-10
• JoshuaZ said “Note theoryofeverything noted themselves that they are using the account jiminykrix mainly. ” on 2015-04-12
• btrettel estimated 5% on 2015-07-26