Night 42: pill was Vitamin D

Created by gwern on 2012-02-13; known on 2012-02-13; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-13.

• gwern estimated 70% on 2012-02-13
• gwern said “only 84ZQ; had to get up early to drive someone somewhere, which I guess damages ZQ more than it feels like” on 2012-02-13
• gwern estimated 30% on 2012-02-13
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-13.
• gwern said “the final tally and analysis: http://www.gwern.net/Zeo#vitamin-d” on 2012-02-14