HBO's Game of Thrones is not cancelled before covering all ASoIaF books (including upcoming ones).

Created by muflax on 2011-12-31; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by davatk on 2019-06-13.

• muflax estimated 60% on 2011-12-31
• muflax said “only includes books up to GRRM’s death if he doesn’t finish the series; deadline is a rough guess” on 2011-12-31
• gwern estimated 50% on 2011-12-31
• RandomThinker estimated 20% and said “Network shows have short spans to begin with. And given the pace that he writes the books, it’s bound to be in limbo at some point and networks hate limbo” on 2012-03-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% and said “ugh not” on 2016-10-09
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2018-12-19
• muflax changed the deadline from “on 2018-12-31” on 2018-12-31
• krazemon estimated 98% and said “At this point, it would have to be cancelled mid-season in order for this to be wrong.” on 2019-04-06
• crabman said “Now this must be resolved as true, right?” on 2019-05-26
• davatk   judged this prediction right on 2019-06-13.