Grognor will hold a meetup at his university by the end of January 2012.
Created by gwern on 2011-11-30; known on 2012-02-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-01.
- gwern estimated 40% on 2011-11-30
- drethelin estimated 0% and said “who is grogor?” on 2011-11-30
- gwern changed their prediction from “Grogor will hold a meetup at his university by the end of January 2012.” on 2011-11-30
- drethelin estimated 30% and said “but for serious” on 2011-11-30
- saturn estimated 4% on 2011-12-11
- Grognor estimated 0% on 2012-01-22
- gwern judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-01.