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Grognor will hold a meetup at his university by the end of January 2012.

Created by gwern on 2011-11-30; known on 2012-02-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-02-01.

  • gwern estimated 40% on 2011-11-30
  • drethelin estimated 0% and said “who is grogor?on 2011-11-30
  • gwern changed their prediction from “Grogor will hold a meetup at his university by the end of January 2012.” on 2011-11-30
  • drethelin estimated 30% and said “but for seriouson 2011-11-30
  • saturn estimated 4% on 2011-12-11
  • Grognor estimated 0% on 2012-01-22
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-02-01.