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Mark Sanford will not depart as Governor of South Carolina before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2009

Created by InTrade on 2009-10-14; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • InTrade estimated 79% on 2009-10-14
  • DonGeddis said ““Mark Sanford”. I wonder how this impacts the statement of your prediction.” on 2009-10-14
  • InTrade changed their prediction from “Mark Sandford will not depart as Governor of South Carolina before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2009” on 2009-10-14
  • InTrade said “heh, thanks” on 2009-10-14
  • gwern   judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.