HP MoR: Harry/Tracey will be a romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.
Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-19; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.
- Anubhav estimated 5% on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav said “Related: predictions 4532 through 4542.” on 2011-11-19
- gwern estimated 4% and said “less likely than harry x draco” on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav said “Really? Both seem equally unlikely to me. ” on 2011-11-20
- Anubhav changed their prediction from “Harry/Tracey will be a romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.” on 2012-04-09
- lavalamp estimated 2% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 5% on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 3% on 2012-04-20
- from3004 estimated 10% on 2014-10-16
- Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.