HP MoR: Harry/Hermione will be the only romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.
Created by Anubhav on 2011-11-19; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2016-01-01.
- Anubhav estimated 40% on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav estimated 20% and said “Spotted another obvious one. ” on 2011-11-19
- JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav said “Related: predictions 4532 through 4542.” on 2011-11-19
- gwern estimated 15% and said “this sounds rather subjective. a lot of stuff in the background or with the minor characters” on 2011-11-19
- Anubhav said “Come to think of it, yes it is. How about: ‘Harry/Hermione will be the only ONSCREEN romantic pairing’?” on 2011-11-20
- Anubhav changed their prediction from “Harry/Hermione will be the only romantic pairing in the Methods of Rationality.” on 2012-04-09
- lavalamp estimated 15% on 2012-04-10
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 10% and said “Bear in mind the non-zero chance that the story will end before they themselves are old enough to be considered a romantic pairing.” on 2012-04-19
- Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2012-04-20
- from3004 estimated 30% on 2014-10-16
- Anubhav changed the deadline from “on 2015-01-01” on 2015-01-01
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-01.