In 2038 the population of the US will be 2 billion, none of them illegal. -Moldbug

Created by Konkvistador on 2011-10-24; known on 2039-01-01

• Konkvistador estimated 3% on 2011-10-24
• Konkvistador said “Source: http://unqualified-reservations.blogspot.com/2008/05/ol7-ugly-truth-about-government.html He is probably not serious. I think. I would be willing to go for 70% odds that it will be over 400 million. ” on 2011-10-24
• Konkvistador said “I meant to say 500 million. 400 million plus my confidence is over 95%” on 2011-10-24
• gwern estimated 5% and said “does read like a rhetorical time-scale” on 2011-10-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-10-24
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2011-10-24
• Robert Kosten estimated 99% and said “depending on the exact legalities in effect at the time” on 2011-10-25
• Robert Kosten estimated 1% on 2011-10-25
• lavalamp estimated 1% on 2011-11-10
• ChristianKl estimated 2% on 2014-09-18
• rebellionkid estimated 1% on 2014-09-18
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 5% on 2014-09-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2014-09-20
• Konkvistador estimated 7% and said “Voices saying closed borders is moral equivalent of segregation (Caplan) and those saying it would be a good way to end global poverty (Time: How to Make the World’s Poor $500 Billion…) have been getting more positive attention and influence. ” on 2014-09-22
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “Even 500 million is far too high, even by 2050.” on 2015-12-30
• themusicgod1 estimated 3% and said “Where are these people going to come from? Robert Kosten? Anyone?” on 2016-10-09