PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

Steve Jobs's will shall donate >=99% of his wealth to charity.

Created by gwern on 2011-10-06; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 20% on 2011-10-06
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2011-10-06
  • gwern said “specific deadline is kind of random; presumably information on Jobs’s wealth’s disposal will be available by then, but if not, I will just bump until it is. (surely the info will come out eventually?)on 2011-10-06
  • Robert Kosten estimated 5% on 2011-10-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2011-10-06
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 10% on 2011-10-07
  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-10
  • gwern said “no info yet apparently, bumping out a yearon 2012-01-01
  • gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01on 2012-01-01
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.