I will not live to see the apocalypse.

Created by Sevis on 2011-06-01; known on 2111-06-01

• Sevis estimated 95% on 2011-06-01
• gwern estimated 99% and said “inasmuch as I expect no religious apocalypse at all (as opposed to ordinary existential risks), 99% is probably low” on 2011-06-01
• kallman estimated 99% and said “Yeah, “End of the world” is a bit rubbish. A less convienient world with less effecient energy sources, maybe.” on 2011-06-22
• faul_sname estimated 45% and said “Well, if we include man-made apocalypses. Apocalypsen.” on 2011-07-01
• army1987 estimated 50% and said “10% nuclear war, 35% sea level rising due to AGW, 5% something else” on 2011-10-03
• Snowshi estimated 65% and said “An apocalypse could definitely happen, it just may not happen in your life time.” on 2014-01-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-08
• pranomostro estimated 95% and said “Same interpretation as @gwern.” on 2019-01-07
• pranomostro estimated 99% on 2019-01-07