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SR: DPR/Ross Ulbricht will not be found guilty on charges of computer hacking (or conspiracy).

Created by tedks on 2013-10-03; known on 2015-10-03; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-02-04.

  • tedks estimated 5% on 2013-10-03
  • tedks on 2013-10-03
  • gwern estimated 25% on 2013-10-05
  • tedks changed the deadline from “on 2015-10-03” and changed their prediction from “SR: DPR/Ross Ulricht will not be found guilty on charges of computer hacking (or conspiracy).” on 2013-10-05
  • tedks said “Bets of Bitcoin: http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=1753” on 2013-10-11
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-02-04.