Bakhmut completely in Ukrainian control by June 30, 2023

Created by JoshuaZ on 2023-05-12; known on 2023-06-30; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2023-07-03.

• JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2023-05-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2023-05-20
• JoshuaZ said “Hard to judge given the current fog of war + OPSEC, but very likely wrong. I will wait a few days before marking it so it is more clear cut.” on 2023-06-30
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2023-07-03.