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S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National (CSUSHPINSA) for June 2023 is less than 313.4.

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2022-06-08; known on 2023-09-01; judged right by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-08-29.

  • jacobgreenleaf estimated 70% on 2022-06-08
  • jacobgreenleaf changed the deadline from “on 2023-09-02” and changed their prediction from “S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index in June 2023 is less than 313.4.” on 2022-10-28
  • jacobgreenleaf said “313.4 coming from the March ’22 (295.045) implied exactly 0% nominal growth but accounting for the 3-month lag – roughly 295.04*(1+(0.206*4/12))” on 2022-10-28
  • jacobgreenleaf   judged this prediction right on 2023-08-29.
  • jacobgreenleaf said “Jun 2023: 308.25400 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA” on 2023-08-29