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Jacinda Ardern will win a new term.

Created by enochthechronocom on 2021-09-01; known on 2024-01-16

  • enochthechronocom estimated 98% on 2021-09-01
  • enochthechronocom said “Prior probability of reelection of NZ PMs=45%Jacinda latest collar brunton poll percentage preferred PM: 48%approx. past success rate of poll=95%= 98.5% as of 2021. ” on 2021-09-01