Afghanistan – Kabul falls to the Taliban before start of 2021-08-17.
Created by jbeshir on 2021-08-15; known on 2021-08-17; judged right by jbeshir on 2021-08-16.
- jbeshir estimated 80% on 2021-08-15
- jbeshir said “Resolves per https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7725/fall-of-kabul/” on 2021-08-15
- PseudonymousUser estimated 100% on 2021-08-16
- jbeshir judged this prediction right on 2021-08-16.