Afghanistan – Kabul falls to the Taliban before start of 2021-08-22.

Created by jbeshir on 2021-08-15; known on 2021-08-22; judged right by jbeshir on 2021-08-16.

• jbeshir estimated 90% on 2021-08-15
• jbeshir said “Resolves per https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7725/fall-of-kabul/” on 2021-08-15
• jbeshir   judged this prediction right on 2021-08-16.