COVID, US – By the 30th of June 2021, there are six or more vaccines with FDA authorisation.

Created by jbeshir on 2021-05-16; known on 2021-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2021-07-01.

• jbeshir estimated 5% on 2021-05-16
• jbeshir said “Resolves per https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5910/covid-vaccines-approved-by-us-fda-by-june/” on 2021-05-16
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 10% and said “FDA urgency for approvals is decreasing as supply becomes less of a bottleneck for herd immunity, IMO.” on 2021-05-20
• jbeshir estimated 2% on 2021-06-18
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-07-01.