humans on mars by 2030

Created by htaussig on 2021-03-20; known on 2030-01-01

• htaussig estimated 80% on 2021-03-20
• htaussig changed the deadline from “on 2030-01-01” and made the prediction on 2021-03-20
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2021-03-21
• lui estimated 10% on 2021-03-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 32% on 2021-03-29
• lazydope estimated 25% on 2021-03-30
• Konsti estimated 15% on 2021-04-01
• Vaibhav_Srivastva estimated 90% and said “Possible.” on 2021-04-03
• M estimated 5% and said “Humans back on the moon by 2025? Likely. But I expect that the preparations for a manned Mars mission will take several unmanned missions first (recon, materials for a base) which will take much longer than just 5 years.” on 2021-06-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 26% and said “Updating based on current progress level. ” on 2021-06-25
• JoshuaZ said “And thinking about this more. ” on 2021-06-25
• scatterspace estimated 25% on 2021-06-26
• jbeshir estimated 5% on 2021-06-28
• Medea estimated 26% on 2021-07-01
• Reinersaltaccount estimated 5% on 2023-03-12