New Shepard to fly with people in 2021
Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-01-01; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by JoshuaZ on 2021-12-29.
- JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2021-01-01
- JoshuaZ said “See also https://predictionbook.com/predictions/202495 and https://predictionbook.com/predictions/202493 ” on 2021-01-01
- JoshuaZ said “See https://old.reddit.com/r/BlueOrigin/comments/koa86l/will_blue_origin_make_it_to_space_this_year/ ” on 2021-01-01
- hampuslj estimated 25% on 2021-02-20
- JoshuaZ said “28” on 2021-02-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 28% on 2021-02-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% and said “Based on success of recent mission. ” on 2021-04-14
- stepan estimated 100% on 2021-12-29
- JoshuaZ judged this prediction right on 2021-12-29.