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The queen of England will be killed by muslims(aka terrorists).

Created by Vaibhav_Srivastva on 2020-12-01; known on 2021-02-01; judged unknown by sty.silver on 2022-07-19.

  • Vaibhav_Srivastva estimated 100% on 2020-12-01
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva estimated 100% and said “Terrorists WILL eventually kill every person on the Earth, if we don’t kill them first.on 2020-12-01
  • platypus42 estimated 0% and said “within 12 hours? so today? sounds kinda unlikelyon 2020-12-01
  • sty.silver estimated 0% on 2020-12-01
  • jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-02.
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva said “Oh, I didn’t know that to set it to give me notiffication after 12hrs is ACTUALLY BETTING 12hrs, my mistake.on 2020-12-04
  • sty.silver said “I think it would be fair if you extend the deadline. I would still bet 0%.on 2020-12-04
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva said “It will definitely happen, but it may take a few years.on 2020-12-05
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva   judged this prediction right on 2020-12-05.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-05.
  • sty.silver said “Judging is for outcomes, not predictions. I believe you can change the deadline. on 2020-12-05
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva changed the deadline from “on 2020-12-01on 2020-12-07
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva said “Yes, now I know how to change time and I have done it.on 2020-12-07
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva   judged this prediction right on 2020-12-10.
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva said “Anyone alive?on 2020-12-10
  • Vaibhav_Srivastva   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-10.
  • sty.silver said “My stats tell me that I lost a 100% bet, which I don’t think happened. Is there a bug where this counted because it was at one point judged true?on 2020-12-29
  • Deepak said “@sty.silver: you might have to mark it wrong too. I think that the site handles conflicting judgements by going with the creator’s if you don’t have your own judgement, if that makes senseon 2020-12-30
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-30.
  • sty.silver said “The wrong button is grayed out and unknown doesn’t change anything. Not a big deal but it does look like a bug. (Just double-checked that I never lost a 100% bet.)on 2020-12-31
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-31.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-31.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2020-12-31.
  • sty.silver said “And yeah, this one shows up in my list under ‘future’ predictions as false, so that should be the reason.on 2020-12-31
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2021-10-10.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2021-12-10.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-24.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-26.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-27.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-28.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-29.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-31.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-02-27.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-03-27.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-04-04.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-04-27.
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-07-19.