[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 5M

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10; known on 2022-01-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-12-31.

• Bruno Parga estimated 5% on 2020-11-10
• nortriptyline2 estimated 50% on 2020-11-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 10% on 2020-11-10
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2020-11-10
• platypus42 estimated 10% on 2020-11-29
• Bruno Parga estimated 30% on 2021-04-30
• Baeboo estimated 14% on 2021-05-01
• Baeboo estimated 12% on 2021-05-09
• Bruno Parga estimated 6% on 2021-07-01
• Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2021-10-30
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2021-11-06
• Bruno Parga said “3.5M” on 2021-12-31
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-31.
• nortriptyline2 said “excess deaths by WHO in 2021:mean 10,427,755low 9,387,524high 11,577,948https://www.who.int/data/stories/global-excess-deaths-associated-with-covid-19-january-2020-december-2021by downloading the dataset we can verify by year.” on 2022-05-21