Republican remains Senate majority after 2020 election

Created by batemancapital on 2020-09-24; known on 2020-11-10; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-01-09.

• batemancapital estimated 60% on 2020-09-24
• LukeS estimated 35% on 2020-09-26
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% and said “Per the 538 forecast.” on 2020-09-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2020-10-02
• two2thehead estimated 51% and said “They could actually lose the senate. Going to be close though” on 2020-10-05
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 30% on 2020-10-21
• chemotaxis101 estimated 45% on 2020-10-26
• Baeboo estimated 45% on 2020-10-26
• two2thehead estimated 49% on 2020-10-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 42% on 2020-10-28
• PlacidPlatypus said “Looks like we need to push the deadline back to after the Georgia runoffs, although it’s looking very likely at this point.” on 2020-11-10
• batemancapital said “Defer this judgement to 01/15/2021” on 2020-11-13
• Baeboo estimated 75% on 2020-11-14
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 90% on 2020-11-14
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-09.