South Korea to sign a peace treaty with North Korea in 2019.
Created by Cato on 2019-01-02; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-31.
- Cato estimated 30% on 2019-01-02
- Cato said “If the date of ratification differs from the date of signature, the date of signature governs.” on 2019-01-02
- Baeboo estimated 20% on 2019-01-02
- Bruno Parga estimated 10% on 2019-01-03
- pranomostro estimated 25% on 2019-01-03
- Cato estimated 19% on 2019-04-10
- Cato estimated 10% on 2019-05-10
- Cato estimated 9% on 2019-06-10
- Cato said “Clarification: Must be a treaty ending the Korean War” on 2019-07-10
- Cato estimated 1% on 2019-11-15
- Bruno Parga said “It is already 2020 in Korea, so I’m marking this wrong even though the in-site end date hasn’t happened.” on 2019-12-31
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2019-12-31.