The 2017 Mar 22 attack on the UK Parliament was done by a person or persons who support Islamic extremism
Created by two2thehead on 2017-03-22; known on 2017-04-12; judged right by two2thehead on 2017-03-23.
- two2thehead estimated 80% on 2017-03-22
- two2thehead said “This includes things like pledging allegiance to ISIS/ISIL/Daesh or Al Qaeda or any other terrorist group who supports Islamic extremism.” on 2017-03-22
- two2thehead said “What counts as “supports Islamic extremism” will be judged by me.” on 2017-03-22
- two2thehead said “Reasons for my prediction: ” on 2017-03-22
- two2thehead said “Use of vehicle in a ramming attack, attack on a police officer apparently, attack on a crowd, attack on a popular tourist destination” on 2017-03-22
- two2thehead said “Information for the above was taken from : Police officer ‘stabbed at UK Parliament’ …He wrote: "A car on Westminster Bridge has just mowed down at least 5 people.” on 2017-03-22
- two2thehead said “Source: http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-39355940” on 2017-03-22
- gwern estimated 75% on 2017-03-22
- orionstein estimated 55% on 2017-03-22
- themusicgod1 estimated 70% and said ““extremism” is an unnecessary modifier here” on 2017-03-22
- ioannes estimated 80% and said “cf. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/181690” on 2017-03-22
- playablecharacter estimated 96% on 2017-03-23
- KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 98% and said “gwern are you willing to bet on this if trust can be established (I think it can be or we have mutually trusted intermediaries available)?” on 2017-03-23
- two2thehead said “Islamic State group has said it was behind the attack, in which PC Keith Palmer, Aysha Frade and US tourist Kurt Cochran were killedSource : http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-39372154” on 2017-03-23
- two2thehead judged this prediction right on 2017-03-23.