Since 2001, the total number of low-income countries has nearly halved to 34, as 31 graduated to middle-income status. By 2026, another 31 will graduate, leaving only 3 countries in low income status.

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2026-12-25

• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2015-12-15
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://blogs.worldbank.org/developmenttalk/growing-graduation-low-income-middle-income-status” on 2015-12-15
• Raahul_Kumar said “As of 1 July 2015, low-income economies are defined as those with a GNI per capita, calculated using the World Bank Atlas method, of $1,045 or less in 2014http://data.worldbank.org/news/new-country-classifications-2015” on 2015-12-15
• ChristianKl said “Predicting that exactly 31 will graduate but not 30 or 32 is something where a 100% prediction makes no sense.” on 2015-12-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2015-12-16
• Raahul_Kumar said “Chris, 31 is a lower bound. At least that many must graduate from lower income.” on 2015-12-18
• Raahul_Kumar said “Bangladesh, Myanmar, Kenya and Tajikistan graduated out of low income this year!” on 2015-12-24
• Raahul_Kumar said “At that rate, this prediction will come true by 2024.” on 2015-12-24
• Raahul_Kumar said “http://data.worldbank.org/about/country-and-lending-groups#Low_income” on 2015-12-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 72% and said “Updating probability based on clarification that this is intended as a lower bound rather than an exact prediction. ” on 2015-12-24
• Raahul_Kumar said “As I mentioned previously 4 countries graduated in 1 year in 2015. If that is repeated in 2016 I will advance the due date to 2024.” on 2016-02-21