“Christopher Hitchens will publicly confess his sins to God, however he finds Him between now and the time of his passing, and accept Christ as his Lord, Savior and pathway to God. He will do this in a meaningful rather than a flippant, facetious or hyp

Created by gwern on 2010-08-19; known on 2020-01-03; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2011-12-16.

• gwern estimated 10% on 2010-08-19
• gwern on 2010-08-19
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/574” on 2010-08-19
• gwern said “This short-circuits upon Hitchens’ death or the fulfillment of this prediction; if Hitchens is alive in 2020, then the prediction will be extended.” on 2010-08-19
• gsrk1984 estimated 0% on 2010-09-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2010-09-29
• Larks estimated 1% on 2010-09-29
• ggreer estimated 5% on 2010-09-30
• Anubhav estimated 0% on 2011-10-12
• gsrk1984   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-07.
• gwern   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-12-08.
• gwern said “not seeing any obits or anything for him” on 2011-12-08
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2011-12-08
• muflax estimated 0% on 2011-12-08
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-12-16.
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-16212418” on 2011-12-16