“The nation with the highest (nominal) gdp in the world in 2025 will be China.”

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-12-31

• gwern estimated 60% on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/491” on 2010-08-02
• gwern said “see prediction about per capita GDP: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1984” on 2010-12-10
• gwern said “china 24t, USA 23t by 2050: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3001” on 2011-08-13
• DaFranker estimated 65% on 2012-12-12
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 100% on 2016-01-19
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2016-01-19
• themusicgod1 estimated 45% and said “not far off though.” on 2016-07-10
• Baeboo estimated 80% on 2019-01-04
• pranomostro estimated 40% on 2019-01-13