Non-condom reversible male contraception approved by the FDA by 2030

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-23; known on 2030-01-02

• btrettel estimated 70% on 2015-08-23
• btrettel said “Inspiration: http://www.parsemusfoundation.org/vasalgel-home/” on 2015-08-23
• btrettel said “For the purposes of this prediction, condoms and the like do not count. Surgical and pharmaceutical options count.” on 2015-08-23
• btrettel said “And reversible means high probability of being reversed, so current vasectomies don’t count because the success rate is too low. Let’s say 95%+ success rate is needed.” on 2015-08-23
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2015-08-23
• kuudes said “What does “available” mean here? Per https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Male_contraception https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Depo-Provera has been used to male contraception and it is from 1967.” on 2015-08-23
• btrettel said “The Wikipedia page on male contraception has expanded since I last looked. Wasn’t aware Depo-Provera could be used for this. Most of the others can’t be obtained at the moment. Let’s go with FDA approval. I’ll edit the title.” on 2015-08-24
• btrettel changed the deadline from “on 2030-01-01” and changed their prediction from “Reversible male contraception available by 2030” on 2015-08-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% on 2015-08-24
• HonoreDB estimated 85% on 2015-08-24
• EloiseRosen estimated 70% on 2015-08-25
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2015-09-03
• themusicgod1 estimated 60% on 2016-05-20
• two2thehead estimated 99% and said “Free karma please. ” on 2016-05-21