The “EM drive” within 8 years not drive anything nor will it provide any meaningful peer-reviewed contribution to modern physics beyond “still another insight in how not to fuck up an experimental setup and misinterpret data”

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-02; known on 2023-05-02

• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2015-05-02
• btrettel estimated 95% on 2015-05-06
• Unknowns estimated 99% on 2015-05-07
• CarlShulman estimated 99% on 2016-01-02
• jessriedel estimated 99% on 2016-01-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 56% on 2016-07-09
• gav estimated 99% on 2020-11-10
• JoshuaZ said “Is anyone else getting errors when they try to judge this prediction?” on 2023-05-02
• PseudonymousUser said “^Yes” on 2023-05-22